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FEMA claims · Erie County

Most basement flooding in Erie County happens outside the flood zone

We pulled every basement flood-insurance claim FEMA has released for Erie County, New York: 1,079 claims on homes with a finished or unfinished basement. Here is where the water actually showed up.

30% of those claims came from homes outside the mapped floodplain.

Outside, 260 claimsInside, 614 claims

That is 260 of 874 claims with a rated flood zone. Look only at claims caused by rainfall or snowmelt soaking in, the seepage kind rather than a river coming up, and the share climbs to 28% (112 of 395).

1,079
Basement flood claims
30%
Outside the flood zone
28%
From rain or snowmelt
$2,859
Median paid claim

The real number is almost certainly higher

Every claim here comes from a home that carried flood insurance. Near a floodplain, a federally backed mortgage all but forces you to buy it. Away from one, almost nobody does. So the homes in this data lean heavily toward the flood zone, and the out-of-zone basements that flooded without insurance never show up at all.

So read 30% as a floor. It is the share we can prove for Erie County, and the true share of basement flooding outside the mapped zone is higher. This is not a flooding rate, so please do not quote it as one.

Erie County claims by rated flood zone

The zone FEMA had each property in when it flooded. Zones starting with A or V are the Special Flood Hazard Area, where flood insurance is effectively mandatory. Everything else sits outside it.

Flood zoneRisk categoryBasement claims
AHigh-risk (SFHA)275
No rated zoneUnrated205
AEHigh-risk (SFHA)189
COutside the flood zone137
XOutside the flood zone95
A11High-risk (SFHA)28
BOutside the flood zone28
A03High-risk (SFHA)24

Where this comes from

The source is FEMA's NFIP redacted claims dataset (openFEMA FimaNfipClaims v2), filtered to buildings recorded with a finished or unfinished basement. Crawlspaces are out. A property counts as inside the floodplain when its rated zone starts with A or V, the Special Flood Hazard Area. Everything else is outside. 205 claims carry no rated zone, so we report them but keep them out of the percentage.

This is county data, not city. FEMA redacts the city field, so Erie County is the finest honest level we can show. It takes in suburbs and unincorporated land, and the cities we cover inside it map to this county.

The claims run from 1978 to 2026.

Free to cite or reproduce with a link to this page (CC BY 4.0).